Price growth continues to slow with interest rate hikes expected to exacerbate the slowdown.
After prices increased rapidly throughout the pandemic, the heat continues to come out of the market. But luckily for our boasting beachside suburbs, we may just be the exception.
With interest rates now rising, and expected to rise much further, we are expecting price growth to continue to slow across the board over the coming months.
However many indicators show that the market still maintains a level of strength. The supply of properties listed for sale remains tight, with total listings 38.4% lower than the decade average. More new listings are now hitting the market each month than experienced in recent years, although a string of public holidays caused vendors to pull back in April.
Sellers who have bought elsewhere have waited until after the Easter and ANZAC long weekends are out of the way, and have now listed their properties. We’re seeing a significant uplift in quality properties hitting the market.
Property value is always about timing. There are also many sellers who thought the uplift in pricing in 2021 would continue, hence many people decided to sell. We are now seeing those properties hit the market. In some cases, where the seller doesn’t have to sell, they have removed the property from the market. The remaining properties on the market are more likely to be sellers who have committed elsewhere and now have to sell.
And with buyer demand dropping off, particularly from those who are yet to secure their finance, now is a great time to negotiate a good price.
Latest data from CoreLogic shows that whilst the rate of growth is slowing, properties across Australia’s 25 largest non-capital city regions are still growing at a rate of 4.7% in the three months to April.
Although demographic data is significantly lagged, anecdotally we are still seeing strong demand for regional housing supported by high internal migration rates. The high level of demand is supported by estimates of home sales, which were tracking 20.1% above the previous five-year average over the three months ending April 2022. It seems many employers across the relevant industries have implemented permanent hybrid working arrangements for staff which is likely to be supporting the stronger demand trend across regional Australia.
Whilst we have seen an increase in quality properties hitting the market, stock levels are still low. We are continuing to see advertised stock levels remain extraordinarily low across regional Australia and settled sales activity looks to be holding firmer relative to the capitals. A lot will depend on regional migration patterns and we expect the demographic trends to continue favouring regional housing markets, especially those regions with some lifestyle appeal within a few hours’ drive of the major capitals.
Government Initiatives to Stabilise Property Market and Drive Demand
The real estate market is multi-speed, which means that demand in some locations and price brackets will be higher than other price brackets. We expect that the first home buyer market, which is essentially any existing properties up to $800,000 and any new homes up to $950,000 to increase in demand from 1 July 2022 as new government scheme places are released. At the moment (as at May 2022), all the places on the existing scheme have been filled, hence a drop off in demand for this price bracket.
Pre-Approved Buyers have Superpowers
For those who have a home loan pre-approval in place, choosing to buy now might be the best decision you make. Reason being, as interest rates increase the borrowing capacity assessment will change to calculate your ability to make repayments based on the increased interest rate. This means if you need to re-apply for your pre-approval because the previous one has expired, you may not secure the same loan amount.
Secure a Pre-Approval Before Lender Assessment Rates Change
With interest rates and inflation rising, the metrics the lenders use to calculate your borrowing capacity have already changed and will continue to change as interest rates increase. This will, in many cases, reduce the borrowing capacity for some borrowers, particularly those who are looking to secure a fixed interest rate. This is because the bank’s assessment rate is based on the actual interest rate plus an assessment buffer. As fixed interest rates are now much higher than the variable interest rate, the added buffer of 2.5% will make the final assessment rate more difficult to service, and the loan approval amount will be reduced. While interest rates and the assessment buffer are still low, now is the time to start your pre-approval application process.
54 GLADESVYLEE BEVD, PATTERSON LAKES
Living the Riverside Dream
A breathtaking blend of luxury and coastal perfection, this supersized 5 bedroom (or 4 + study), 2.5 bathroom family haven showcases a thoughtful renovation and riverside indulgence. This family-friendly investment in a glamorous location sure did impress potential buyers!
We had a strong campaign from start to finish with this home, with steady groups through at every open for inspection. All soaking up those priceless water views.
On Auction Day there was a buzz in the air. Increasing interest rates didn’t seem to scare off buyers and we had two confident bidders go up against each other. Eventually ending in another fantastic result for all involved.